{"id":11054,"date":"2021-10-29T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-29T01:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ileolife.com\/?p=11054"},"modified":"2021-10-22T16:51:00","modified_gmt":"2021-10-22T08:51:00","slug":"%e7%82%ba%e4%bd%95%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e5%82%b5%e5%8b%99%e9%81%95%e7%b4%84%ef%bc%8c%e6%81%90%e8%ae%93%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e5%b4%a9%e8%b7%8c%e9%80%be305%e5%80%8b%e9%97%9c%e9%8d%b5qa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ileolife.com\/?p=11054","title":{"rendered":"\u70ba\u4f55\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\u9055\u7d04\uff0c\u6050\u8b93\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u8dcc\u903e30%?5\u500b\u95dc\u9375QA\u4e00\u6b21\u770b\u61c2"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u9577\u8449\u502b\uff08Janet Yellen\uff09\u5df2\u516c\u958b\u793a\u8b66\uff0c\u82e5\u570b\u6703\u7121\u6cd5\u53d6\u5f97\u5171\u8b58\uff0c\u572810\u670818\u65e5\u524d\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u8209\u50b5\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u5c46\u6642\u806f\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u624b\u982d\u8cc7\u91d1\u5c07\u7528\u7f44\uff0c\u6050\u5c0e\u81f4\u7f8e\u570b\u767c\u751f\u53f2\u4e0a\u9996\u6b21\u50b5\u52d9\u9055\u7d04\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u8207\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u7b49\u300c\u707d\u96e3\u6027\u5f8c\u679c\u300d\uff08catastrophic consequences\uff09\u3002<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

\u5c0d\u65bc\u8449\u502b\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5c07\u900f\u904e5\u500bQ&A\uff0c\u8b93\u8b80\u8005\u4e86\u89e3\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\u9055\u7d04\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u60c5\u52e2\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u9020\u6210\u7684\u885d\u64ca\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\u8209\u50b5\u4e0a\u9650\uff08debt ceiling\uff09\uff0c\u4ea6\u7a31\u300c\u50b5\u52d9\u9650\u984d\u300d\uff08debt limit\uff09\uff0c\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u70ba\u4e86\u652f\u4ed8\u5404\u5f0f\u300c\u5e33\u55ae\u300d\uff0c\u88ab\u5141\u8a31\u501f\u8cb8\u7684\u91d1\u984d\u3002<\/p>

\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u5728\u5149\u9760\u7a05\u6536\uff0c\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u56e0\u61c9\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u501f\u9322\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u652f\u4ed8\u5305\u62ec\u793e\u6703\u798f\u5229\u3001\u91ab\u7642\u4fdd\u969c\u3001\u8ecd\u4eba\u5de5\u8cc7\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u570b\u50b5\u7b49\u8af8\u591a\u300c\u5e33\u55ae\u300d\uff0c\u85c9\u4ee5\u7dad\u6301\u570b\u5bb6\u904b\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>

\u64da\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\u5df2\u6500\u5347\u81f328.8\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u73fe\u884c\u898f\u7bc4\u768428.4\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u9019\u4e5f\u662f\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u5e0c\u671b\u63d0\u9ad8\u8209\u50b5\u4e0a\u9650\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u7e3d\u7d71\u62dc\u767b\u6240\u5c6c\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\uff0c\u901a\u904e\u5305\u62ec\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u7d13\u56f0\u3001\u898f\u6a21\u90543.5\u5146\u7f8e\u5143<\/a>\u7684\u793e\u6703\u5b89\u5168\u7db2\u8207\u6c23\u5019\u653f\u7b56\u9810\u7b97\u6848\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u570b\u8655\u65bc\u300c\u5931\u63a7\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u72c2\u6f6e\u300d\uff08out-of-control spending spree\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u6050\u5c0e\u81f4\u570b\u5bb6\u50b5\u52d9\u6301\u7e8c\u81a8\u8139\u3002<\/p>

\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u4eba\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\u5df2\u8d85\u904e\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d\uff08GDP\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u6b64\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u653f\u5e9c\u61c9\u524a\u6e1b\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u63d0\u9ad8\u8209\u50b5\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4e82\u82b1\u9322\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\u4e09\u3001\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u63d0\u9ad8\u8209\u50b5\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u6703\u767c\u751f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u4e8b\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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\u82e5\u6b64\u72c0\u6cc1\u6210\u771f\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u767c\u751f\u53f2\u4e0a\u9996\u6b21\u50b5\u52d9\u9055\u7d04\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u96e3\u6599\uff0c\u73fe\u968e\u6bb5\u53ef\u53c3\u8003\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8449\u502b\u6295\u66f8\u300a\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u300b\u6240\u5beb\u7684\uff0c\u300c\u6703\u9020\u6210\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u707d\u96e3\uff08widespread economic catastrophe\uff09\u300d\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\u5047\u5982\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\u9055\u7d04\uff0c\u5c07\u4f7f\u6578\u4ee5\u767e\u842c\u8a08\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\uff0c\u7121\u6cd5\u7372\u5f97\u793e\u6703\u4fdd\u969c\u3001\u91ab\u7642\u4fdd\u96aa\u7b49\u798f\u5229\uff0c\u806f\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u6050\u767c\u4e0d\u51fa\u8ecd\u4eba\u3001\u516c\u52d9\u54e1\u85aa\u8cc7\u3002<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

\u6839\u64da\u7a46\u8fea\u5206\u6790\uff08Moody’s Analytics\uff09\u5831\u544a\u63a8\u4f30\uff0c\u82e5\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u767c\u751f\u50b5\u52d9\u9055\u7d04\uff0c\u52e2\u5fc5\u6703\u9020\u6210GDP\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u5931\u53bb\u7d04600\u842c\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5c07\u6025\u5287\u6500\u5347\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\u7a46\u8fea\u5206\u6790\u9996\u5e2d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u8d0a\u8fea<\/a>\uff08Mark Zandi\uff09\u7814\u5224\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\u9055\u7d04\uff0c\u5c07\u5c0d\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u5f8c\uff0c\u521d\u840c\u82bd\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u60c5\u52e2\uff0c\u5e36\u4f86\u707d\u96e3\u6027\u6253\u64ca\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u81ea\u7136\u96e3\u9003\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u300c\u5728\u62cb\u552e\u6700\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u6050\u5d29\u8dcc\u8fd13\u5206\u4e4b1\u3002\u300d<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

\u82e5\u60c5\u6cc1\u771f\u5982\u8d0a\u8fea\u9810\u4f30\uff0c\u5c46\u6642\u5c07\u6709\u9ad8\u905415\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u8ca1\u5bcc\uff0c\u77ac\u9593\u88ab\u62b9\u9664\uff0c\u4e14\u5728\u8209\u50b5\u4e0a\u9650\u554f\u984c\u89e3\u6c7a\u3001\u6062\u5fa9\u652f\u4ed8\u570b\u50b5\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u3001\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u3001\u4f01\u696d\u501f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u90fd\u6703\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u554f\u984c\u89e3\u6c7a\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e5f\u96e3\u56de\u5230\u5148\u524d\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\uff0c\u5df2\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u7121\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u3002<\/p>

\u8d0a\u8fea\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u82e5\u8209\u50b5\u4e0a\u9650\u50f5\u5c40\u5ef6\u7e8c\u523011\u6708\uff0c\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u5c07\u88ab\u8feb\u522a\u6e1b\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u85c9\u4ee5\u62b5\u92b7\u7d042000\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u8d64\u5b57\uff0c\u6309\u5e74\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u898f\u6a21\u76f8\u7576\u65bc10%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684GDP\uff0c\u53ef\u8b02\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6027\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u885d\u64ca\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\u00a0<\/p>

\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u745e\u9280\u65bc\u672c\u5468\u4e8c\u767c\u5e03\u7684\u5831\u544a<\/a>\u4fbf\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u653f\u6cbb\u60c5\u52e2\u5c1a\u672a\u53d6\u5f97\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u300c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u8209\u50b5\u4e0a\u9650\u7684\u8ac7\u5224\uff0c\u5c07\u53ef\u53ca\u6642\u9054\u9663\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u653f\u5e9c\u9677\u5165\u505c\u64fa\u3002\u300d<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

\u82b1\u65d7\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u8377\u502b\u970d\u65af\u7279<\/a>\uff08Andrew Hollenhorst\uff09\u4e5f\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u570b\u6703\u6b63\u5728\u5c0b\u6c42\u89e3\u6c7a\u4e4b\u9053\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u9019\u9805\u98a8\u96aa\u503c\u5f97\u95dc\u6ce8\uff0c\u4f46\u300c\u5e02\u5834\u4f9d\u820a\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u98a8\u96aa\u5c07\u7372\u5f97\u89e3\u6c7a\u3002\u300d<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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